You are the non-dealer, looking at your 15 cards for the first time: Skus, XXI, XX, XVII, XIV, XI, VIII, V, II, K♥, Q♥, C♦, J♣, 10♠, 1♦.
Do you say "I'll play," or "pass"?
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Answer
Play. Nine Taroks including the Skus and the Moon, a King backed by its own Queen, and a Cavalier and Jack besides: this hand is already carrying 18 pips of court weight before a single Strawman card arrives. Twelve more cards are still coming from your three piles, and in Strawman that resupply favors courage. The lopsided bet (win +2, fail hands your opponent +3) is exactly the kind of bet this hand can make.